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Pop Health Monday Seminar Series – Tangled up in Threats & Costs
April 1, 2019 @ 12:00 pm - 1:00 pm
“Tangled Up in Threats & Costs: How Can Data-Based Dynamic Systems Modeling Reveal Which Priorities are Most Important for County Health and Well-Being”
An Illustrative Study of Potential Intervention Portfolios in Large Urban Counties
Presented by: Bobby Milstein, Director of System Strategy, ReThink Health, Visiting Scientist, MIT Sloan School of Management and Jack Homer, Senior System Dynamics Consultant, ReThink Health, Research Affiliate, MIT Sloan School of Management
Counties across America must contend with multiple, intertwined threats and costs that defy simple solutions. Decision-makers, therefore, face a necessary but difficult task to prioritize interventions with the greatest potential to produce equitable health and well-being. We devised a novel way of using data from the County Health Rankings to account for regional complexities such as the particular mix and magnitude of prevailing threats, as well as interconnections and time delays among them. We illustrate the value of this technique by comparing the likely impact of 12 potential interventions within each county in a single peer group of 39 urban counties. The results show that the most important interventions in any given county are not necessarily apparent when looking at a simple profile of strengths and weaknesses. Indeed, our analysis suggests that the list of top-ranked interventions is strikingly similar in different places, even though they face widely different threat profiles. Together with seminar participants, we will explore implications for designing regional intervention portfolios and establishing widely-shared investment priorities.
To view the live stream: http://live.videos.med.wisc.edu/
To view the archive, please see the Innovations in Medical Education Video Library at http://videos.med.wisc.edu/events/5
Event Flyer: April 1 2019 – Milstein Homer (PDF)